AI Will Not Start a Nuclear War, but Humans Might

Researchers and policymakers are fixated on the fear of AI launching nuclear weapons—to the neglect of more realistic threats.

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Jun 9, 2026
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AI Will Not Start a Nuclear War, but Humans Might

Researchers and policymakers are fixated on the fear of AI launching nuclear weapons—to the neglect of more realistic threats.

Jun 9, 2026

Opt-In Surveillance Is Approaching

AIs with access to all our data will soon be able to vouch for us to others. As people come to trust AI judgments of character, not sharing one will look suspicious.

Jun 3, 2026

Chinese Audiences Are Reading Western AI Safety Discourse

Western AI safety treatises are surprisingly well-received in Chinese tech media. What does this mean for international AI policy?

May 18, 2026

The Quadrillion-Dollar Disagreement on AI and the Economy

AI forecasts span a range of potential futures, from economic stagnation to explosive growth. The divergence traces to three specific assumptions—each generating predictions we can already test.

May 11, 2026

Catalytic Regulation: Incentivizing Safety During a Regulatory Drought

Governments should set positive incentives for AI safety. Here are four approaches.

Apr 20, 2026

The Right Way to Sell Chips to China

Current export rules focus on keeping chips a generation behind. They should focus on keeping America's total compute ahead.

The Robot in Your Living Room Has No Rulebook

Embodied AI is arriving faster than the regulations meant to govern it. If we start now, that’s a problem we can still fix.

Mar 27, 2026

How AI Could Benefit Workers, Even If It Displaces Most Jobs

AI is already taking jobs, but that is only one facet of its complex economic effects. Price dynamics and bottlenecks indicate that automation could be good news for workers — but only if it vastly outperforms them.

Mar 2, 2026

China and the US Are Running Different AI Races

Shaped by a different economic environment, China’s AI startups are optimizing for different customers than their US counterparts — and seeing faster industrial adoption.

Feb 12, 2026
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