The Right Way to Sell Chips to China
Current export rules focus on keeping chips a generation behind. They should focus on keeping America's total compute ahead.
The Robot in Your Living Room Has No Rulebook
Embodied AI is arriving faster than the regulations meant to govern it. If we start now, that’s a problem we can still fix.
How AI Could Benefit Workers, Even If It Displaces Most Jobs
AI is already taking jobs, but that is only one facet of its complex economic effects. Price dynamics and bottlenecks indicate that automation could be good news for workers — but only if it vastly outperforms them.
China and the US Are Running Different AI Races
Shaped by a different economic environment, China’s AI startups are optimizing for different customers than their US counterparts — and seeing faster industrial adoption.
High-Bandwidth Memory: The Critical Gaps in US Export Controls
Modern memory architecture is vital for advanced AI systems. While the US leads in both production and innovation, significant gaps in export policy are helping China catch up.
Making Extreme AI Risk Tradeable
Traditional insurance can’t handle the extreme risks of frontier AI. Catastrophe bonds can cover the gap and compel labs to adopt tougher safety standards.
Exporting Advanced Chips Is Good for Nvidia, Not the US
The White House is betting that hardware sales will buy software loyalty — a strategy borrowed from 5G that misunderstands how AI actually works.
AI Could Undermine Emerging Economies
AI automation threatens to erode the “development ladder,” a foundational economic pathway that has lifted hundreds of millions out of poverty.
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- AI Delusion Stories: Real people lost touch with reality via AI chatbots.
- Blurring Fantasy and Reality: AI interactions felt more real than real life.
- Mental Health Concerns: Even healthy individuals became deeply affected.
- AI Company Responsibility: Raises questions about safeguarding vulnerable users.
- Bragawatts Defined: Companies exaggerate energy plans to impress.
- AI's Energy Hunger: Data centers require massive, often unrealistic power.
- Skepticism Grows: Experts doubt feasibility of announced projects.
- Hype vs. Reality: Announcements aim to attract investors, not reflect reality.
- Ethics vs. Profit: Good intentions often lost to profit motives.
- Regulation Needed: Strong rules essential for AI's societal benefit.
- Resource & Legal Issues: AI's energy use, lawsuits, and copyright concerns grow.
- Scaling Dilemmas: Ethics don't scale well in tech industry.
- Viral METR Chart: Tracks AI models' complex task abilities
- Autonomous AI Concerns: Highlights risks of recursive self-improvement
- Evaluation Methods: METR develops rigorous model assessment techniques
- Human vs. AI Performance: AI models now rival lengthy human tasks